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🎯 Today’s 3-Pick Winner Slate – July 29

DraftKings odds | One pick per game | All start times in Eastern Time

✅ 1️⃣ Top Bet of the Day

No Run First Inning (NRFI)
🏟️ Max Fried (Yankees) vs Rays opener Boyle
⏰ 7:05 PM ET • Yankee Stadium
💰 −115 on DraftKings

Why It Wins:

• Fried owns a 2.14 ERA in the 1st inning, rarely allowing an early run.

• Rays rank bottom in first-inning offense vs LHP at Yankee Stadium.

• Our model projects NRFI success in ~55–56% of sims—strong edge at −115.

🔒 Lock It In: NRFI | −115 | Yankees @ Rays | Fried vs Boyle | 7:05 PM ET

🧢 2️⃣ Pick #2 – Pitcher Prop

Tyler Glasnow (Dodgers) – Over 6.5 Strikeouts
🏟️ Dodgers @ Reds
⏰ 7:10 PM ET • Great American Ball Park
💰 −150 on DraftKings

Why It Wins:

• Glasnow averages over 11 K/9 and dominates weaker Reds hitters.

• Simulation projects ~57% chance of clearing 6.5 Ks even at the tougher line.

• Still solid +EV at −150 with power matchups and value solidified.

🔒 Lock It In: Strikeout Prop | Over 6.5 Ks | −150 | Glasnow @ Reds | 7:10 PM ET

⚾ 3️⃣ Pick #3 – Batter Prop

Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres) – Over 1 Hit
🏟️ Mets @ Padres
⏰ 9:40 PM ET • Petco Park
💰 −175 on DraftKings

Why It Wins:

• Tatis Jr. is on a tear (batting leadoff, elite wRC+), looking for baserunners every AB.

• Padres pitchers continue to allow at-bats to high-contact hitters.

• Our model gives him hitting success in ~66% of sims, outpacing the implied ~64% at −175.

🔒 Lock It In: Batter Prop | Over 1 Hit | −175 | Tatis Jr. @ Padres | 9:40 PM ET

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High-confidence picks. Maximum clarity. Let’s close out Tuesday with a sweep. 💸