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🎯5.9.26🎯

Author

Tab Martin
May 09, 2026

⭐ Top Pick of the Day

Pistons/Cavaliers Under 211.5 (-110) — 1.5u

Game: Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Tip: 2:10 PM CT
EV: +4.4%
10K MC: 54.8% under

Why we like it:
This is a Game 3 pressure spot with Cleveland down 0–2 and needing a cleaner, more physical response at home. Detroit’s best road path is Cade control, rebounding, and forcing Cleveland into half-court possessions. With both teams showing some bench shooting concerns, this profiles more like a playoff grind than a track meet.

Play to: 210 (≤ -115)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

• Market: Total
• Play: Pistons/Cavaliers Under 211.5 (-110)
• Units: 1.5u
• Time: 2:10 PM CT

⛳⛳PGA⛳⛳👇👇

Top Round 3 Play

Justin Thomas End of Round 3 Top 5 (+100) — 1.0u

Tournament: Truist Championship
Course: Quail Hollow Club
Market: End of Round 3 Top 5 Finish
Tee Time: 12:40 PM CT
EV: +11.2%
10K MC: 55.6% Top 5

Why we like it:
JT is already sitting inside the top cluster, so this is not a chase play. We just need him to hold position through Saturday. He has the iron-play ceiling, Quail Hollow experience, and aggressive scoring profile to stay inside the top 5 even if conditions get a little tricky late.

Weather/tee-time angle:
JT goes late enough to know the number, but not so late that he is fully exposed to the final-group pressure. A possible afternoon shower adds some volatility, but his current position gives him a strong cushion.

Play to: -115

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

• Market: End of Round 3 Top 5 Finish
• Play: Justin Thomas Top 5 (+100)
• Units: 1.0u
• Time: Saturday Round 3 — 12:40 PM CT

✅ Pick 2

Ludvig Åberg End of Round 3 Top 10 (+122) — 0.75u

Tournament: Truist Championship
Course: Quail Hollow Club
Market: End of Round 3 Top 10 Finish
Tee Time: 11:45 AM CT
EV: +10.6%
10K MC: 49.8% Top 10

Why we like it:
Åberg has the right moving-day profile: elite driving, par-5 scoring, long-iron strength, and enough birdie-making upside to climb quickly. We’re not asking him to win the round — just post a clean Saturday number and stay inside the top 10 mix.

Weather/tee-time angle:
This tee time is a small boost. Ludvig gets out before some of the later-afternoon weather uncertainty, giving him a better chance to attack softer scoring conditions before the final groups finish.

Play to: +100

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

• Market: End of Round 3 Top 10 Finish
• Play: Ludvig Åberg Top 10 (+122)
• Units: 0.75u
• Time: Saturday Round 3 — 11:45 AM CT

🥊🥊UFC🥊🥊👇👇

✅ Play 1: Van vs. Taira — Exact Method: Decision +140

Units: 1.0u
10K MC: 47.0%
EV: +12.8%
Why we like it: This fight has two-way decision equity. Van’s volume can bank rounds if he stuffs enough grappling, while Taira can still win minutes through control without needing a finish.

🧾 Lock It In (DK)
• Market: Exact Method of Victory
• Play: Decision +140
• Units: 1.0u
• Time: 5/9

🎯 Sprinkle Play: Sean Strickland +13.5 (+165)

Units: 0.25u to 0.5u sprinkle
10K MC: 41.5%
EV: +10.0%
Why we like it: Strickland can lose and still cash this if he survives early wrestling danger and keeps enough rounds competitive with volume, defense, and durability.

🧾 Lock It In (DK)
• Market: Point Spread
• Play: Sean Strickland +13.5 (+165)
• Units: 0.25u–0.5u
• Time: 5/9

Best ticket:
Van/Taira Exact Method Decision +140 — 1.0u
Strickland +13.5 +165 — 0.25u–0.5u sprinkle

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