🔥 Top Pick of the Day — 1.5u

Oregon −10.5 (−105)
Game: USC @ Oregon
Kick: 2:30 PM CT
EV: +7–8% (10K MC cover ~58%, fair line −12.5 to −13)
Why we like it: Clear edges in early-down success, explosive-pass rate, and finishing drives; USC defense still leaks explosives. CFP motivation → full 4Q squeeze.
Play to: −11 (≤ −110) 1.5u • −11.5/−12 = 1.0u

🧾 Lock It In (DK)
• Market: Spread
• Play: Oregon −10.5 (−105)
• Units: 1.5u
• Time: 2:30 PM CT

✅ Pick 2 — 1.0u

Michigan −14 (−112)
Game: Michigan @ Maryland
Kick: 3:00 PM CT
EV: +5% (cover ~56%, fair −15.5)
Why we like it: Trench advantage + rush success gap; defense limits explosives. CFP path alive boosts intensity.
Play to: −14 (≤ −115) 1.0u • −14.5 = 0.75u

🧾 Lock It In (DK)
• Market: Spread
• Play: Michigan −14 (−112)
• Units: 1.0u
• Time: 3:00 PM CT

✅ Pick 3 — 1.0u

Illinois @ Wisconsin — UNDER 41.5 (−110)
Kick: 6:30 PM CT
EV: +6% (hit ~57%, fair total 39.5)
Why we like it: Run-lean, low-explosive offenses + conservative 4th-down profiles shorten the game; fewer drives, fewer big plays.
Play to: Under 41 (≤ −112) 1.0u • 40.5 = 0.75u

🧾 Lock It In (DK)
• Market: Total
• Play: Under 41.5 (−110)
• Units: 1.0u
• Time: 6:30 PM CT

✅ Pick 4 — 0.75u

Arizona State −7 (−108)
Game: Arizona State @ Colorado
Kick: 7:00 PM CT
EV: +4% (cover ~55%, fair −8.0)
Why we like it: ASU defense suppresses explosives/red-zone TDs; Colorado protection still volatile. Ranking/positioning motivation favors the road fave.
Play to: −7 (≤ −115) 0.75–1.0u • −7.5 = 0.5u

🧾 Lock It In (DK)
• Market: Spread
• Play: Arizona State −7 (−108)
• Units: 0.75u
• Time: 7:00 PM CT

🏀🏀🏀🏀

🔥 Top Pick of the Day

CHI Bulls −12.5 (−110) — 1.0u
Game: WAS Wizards @ CHI Bulls
Tip: 6:00 PM CT
EV: +5%
10K MC cover: 56.8%
Why we love it: Bulls own the half-court efficiency, glass, and FT edge vs WAS.
Play to: −13 (≤ −110)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)
• Market: Spread
• Play: Bulls −12.5 (−110)
• Units: 1.0u
• Time: 6:00 PM CT

✅ Pick 2

ATL Hawks −8.5 (−105) — 0.75u
Game: ATL Hawks @ NO Pelicans
Tip: 6:00 PM CT
EV: +3%
10K MC cover: 55.4%
Why we like it: Transition/scoring pace favors ATL; rim pressure creates separation late.
Play to: −9 (≤ −110)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)
• Market: Spread
• Play: Hawks −8.5 (−105)
• Units: 0.75u
• Time: 6:00 PM CT

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