🔒 Top Play — 1.25 Units

West Virginia +19.5 (−112) at BYU — Kick 9:00 PM CT
Model (10K sims): cover ~58% • fair line +17.0–17.5 → EV ~+9–10%
Why we love it: Big dog with a low total (46.5) = extra cover equity; WVU’s run game + pace can shorten possessions, plus back-door paths if BYU rotates late.
Play to: +19 (≤ −115); at +20 (≤ −120) you can keep 1.25u.

📉 Total — 1.0 Unit

New Mexico–San José State UNDER 58.5 (−112) — Kick 6:00 PM CT
Model: Under ~56–57% • fair total ~56.0 → EV ~+6–7%
Why: Both teams project middling finishing-drives; SJSU’s tempo has cooled and UNM’s explosives are limited.
Play to: Under 58 (≤ −115); at 57.5 trim to 0.75u.

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