🔒 Top Play 🏈🏈— 1.25 Units

Miami (FL) −13.5 (−110) vs Louisville
Kick: 6:00 PM CT
Why we love it: Early-down success + finishing-drives edge and a cleaner explosives profile at home.
Play to: −13.5 (≤ −115) or −14 (−105/−110, 1.0u)

📈 1.0 Unit

Minnesota +7.5 (−110) vs Nebraska
Kick: 7:00 PM CT
Why we love it: Lower total boosts point value; Gophers’ run D and pace shorten possessions with live back-door equity.
Play to: +7.5 (≤ −120) or +7 (≤ −115)

📈 Total — 1.0 Unit

San José State @ Utah State — OVER 61.5 (−110)
Kick: 8:00 PM CT
Why we love it: Both offenses rate above average in pace and explosives; multiple routes into the low-to-mid 60s.
Play to: Over 62.5 (≤ −115)

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🧨 Top Pick of the Day — 1.5u

Dodgers −1.5 (+112) vs Brewers — Fri 7:38 PM CT

• Why: In a total 8 lane we convert the fave to plus-money RL; Ohtani + LAD leverage pen create multiple 2+ run paths.

• BE 47.17% • Model cover ≈49–50% → EV ≈ +4–6%

• Play to: +100

✅ Pick 2 — 1.0u

Blue Jays @ Mariners — Under 7 (−112) — Fri 5:08 PM CT

• Why: Gausman vs Bryce Miller, pitcher-friendly park, October hooks → limited crooked innings.

• BE 52.83% • Model ≈55–56% → EV ≈ +4–6%

• Play to: −120