- BetSignalAI
- Posts
- π₯ BetSignalAI β MLB Playoffs (Tue, 7:08 PM CT)
π₯ BetSignalAI β MLB Playoffs (Tue, 7:08 PM CT)
Game: Dodgers (Yamamoto) @ Brewers (Peralta) β DraftKings lines only.
𧨠Top Pick of the Day β 1.5u
Dodgers Moneyline (β126)
Why we love it
In a 7β7.5 total environment we prefer the higher hit-rate side.
Yamamotoβs K:BB efficiency + LAD leverage pen give the edge in a likely one-run script.
Numbers: BE 55.75% β’ BSAI win β 58.3% β Edge +2.55 pts β’ EV β +4.5%
Play to: β135
π§Ύ Lock It In (DK): Moneyline β’ LAD β126 β’ 1.5u
β Pick 2 β 1.0u
Under 7.5 (β124)
Why we love it
Two strikeout aces + October hooks β limited crooked innings; the half-run bump from 7 to 7.5 materially raises our hit rate.
Numbers: BE 55.36% β’ BSAI hit β 59β60% β EV β +5β7%
Play to: β140
π§Ύ Lock It In (DK): Total β’ U 7.5 (β124) β’ 1.0u
β Pick 3 β 0.75u (EV chase)
Dodgers β1.5 (+144)
Why we love it
If LAD gets margin, Yamamoto β leverage pen provides multiple 2+ run cover paths. Lower hit rate than ML, but price creates value.
Numbers: BE 40.98% β’ BSAI cover β 43.8% β Edge +2.82 pts β’ EV β +6.9%
Play to: +130
π§Ύ Lock It In (DK): Run Line β’ LAD β1.5 (+144) β’ 0.75u
Notes
If a line moves past the Play-to number, pass to protect EV.
Model inputs: starters, bullpen leverage availability, park/weather, playoff usage (10K-run Monte Carlo).
Single-game stack is intentional: ML (highest win rate), Under (game script), RL (plus-money value).
π Join the Movement
Newsletter: https://tabs-newsletter-ecf9bc.beehiiv.com/subscribe
Telegram: t.me/join_BetSignalAI
X (Twitter): https://x.com/BetSignalAI
Like, share, and tag your crewβletβs stack tickets.