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  • 🔥 BetSignalAI — MLB Wild Card Oct 1

🔥 BetSignalAI — MLB Wild Card Oct 1

5–1 today. Get on board.

Author

Tab Martin
October 01, 2025

🔥 BetSignalAI — MLB Wild Card

All lines DraftKings • CT times • units + EV shown. One pick per matchup.

🔥 Top Pick of the Day — 1.5u

Yankees −1.5 (+131) vs Red Sox — 5:08 PM CT
Why we love it

  • ML −169 in a 7.5 (U −123) game → classic convert fave to run line at plus money.

  • Rodón + leverage pen give multi-run separation paths late.
    EV / ROI: BE 43.29% • BSAI cover ≈46.5% → Edge +3.21 pts, EV +7.3%
    Play to: +120
    🧾 Lock It In (DK)

  • Market: Run Line

  • Bet: NYY −1.5 (+131)

  • Units: 1.5u

  • Start: 5:08 PM CT

✅ Pick 2 — 1.0u

Dodgers −1.5 (−113) vs Reds — 8:08 PM CT
Why we love it

  • ML −257 is taxed; Yamamoto + Dodgers pen project steady scoring + hold.

  • Our cover% clears RL breakeven even with total 8.
    EV / ROI: BE 53.05% • BSAI cover ≈55.2% → Edge +2.15 pts, EV +4.0%
    Play to: −120
    🧾 Lock It In (DK)

  • Market: Run Line

  • Bet: LAD −1.5 (−113)

  • Units: 1.0u

  • Start: 8:08 PM CT

✅ Pick 3 — 1.0u

Guardians ML (−126) vs Tigers — 12:08 PM CT
Why we love it

  • Total 6.5 + RL pricing (CLE −1.5 +176 / DET +1.5 −218) screams 1-run script → ML > RL.

  • Bibee’s run-prevention + home leverage in a low-variance game.
    EV / ROI: BE 55.75% • BSAI win ≈57.45% → Edge +1.70 pts, EV +3.0%
    Play to: −135
    🧾 Lock It In (DK)

  • Market: Moneyline

  • Bet: CLE ML (−126)

  • Units: 1.0u

  • Start: 12:08 PM CT

✅ Pick 4 — .5u

Cubs ML (−111) vs Padres — 2:08 PM CT
Why we love it

  • Another total 6.5 with −1.5/+1.5 pricing → likely 1-run; take ML.

  • Home bullpen leverage vs Cease volatility improves close-game win rate.
    EV / ROI: BE 52.61% • BSAI win ≈54.55% → Edge +1.94 pts, EV +3.7%
    Play to: −120
    🧾 Lock It In (DK)

  • Market: Moneyline

  • Bet: CHC ML (−111)

  • Units: 1.0u

  • Start: 2:08 PM CT

House Rules / Notes

  • If a line moves past the play-to number, pass to protect EV.

  • Starters & bullpens are fully priced into our 10K-run Monte Carlo (BF, K/BB, TTO penalties, leverage relievers).

  • One pick per matchup maintained.

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