📬 BetSignalAI — MNF DeepDive

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Author

Tab Martin
October 13, 2025

🔥 Top Pick — 1.5u (Strong 4/5)
Buffalo Bills −4.5 (−108 DK) @ Atlanta Falcons — Mon 6:15 PM CT
Why we love it: Early-down and short-field edge; our median margin clears 4.5 often enough to beat the price.
Lock It In (DK Ticket): Spread — Bills −4.5 | −108 | 1.5u
Play to: −4.5 (≤ −115); at −5/−5.5, trim to 1.0u.

✅ Pick 2 — 1.5u (Strong 4/5)
Washington Commanders −5.5 (−110 DK) vs Chicago Bears — Sun 7:15 PM CT
Why we love it: Pass-rush vs protection mismatch + better red-zone conversion; our number sits above 6.
Lock It In (DK Ticket): Spread — Commanders −5.5 | −110 | 1.5u
Play to: −5.5 (≤ −115); at −6.0, trim to 1.0u.

✅ Pick 3 — 1.0u (Edge 3/5)
Bills @ Falcons — Under 49.5 (−102 DK) — Mon 6:15 PM CT
Why we love it: Drive sims shave a couple points off market; fewer explosives and more clock in the 2H.
Lock It In (DK Ticket): Total — Under 49.5 | −102 | 1.0u
Play to: U49.5 (≤ −108); at 49.0, trim to 0.75u.

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🔥 Top Pick — 1.0u
SEA @ TOR — NRFI (Under 0.5) −130 — Today 4:03 PM CT (DK)

Why we love it

  • Logan Gilbert vs Trey Yesavage → strong K/command profiles and quick playoff hooks.

  • October environment suppresses early HR damage.

Numbers (EV)

  • Breakeven 56.52%

  • BSAI NRFI ≈ 57–59% → Edge +0.5–2.5 pts → EV ≈ +3–4%

  • Play to: −135 (pass if worse)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)
Market: 1st Inning Runs • Bet: Under 0.5 (−130) • Units: 1.0u • Start: 4:03 PM CT

What are you waiting for? Get on board. Get off the bench. Start cashing tickets.