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1) Top Pick of the Day β€” SF -5.5 (-110) β€” 1.5u

Game: SF 49ers @ IND Colts
Kick: Mon 7:15 PM CT
EV: +6% to +9% (est.)
Why we like it: IND is without its QB and starting LT, which pushes toward stalled drives + pressure issues β†’ better β€œwin by margin” path for SF.
Play to: SF -6.5 (≀ -115)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

  • β€’ Market: Spread

  • β€’ Play: SF -5.5 (-110)

  • β€’ Units: 1.5u

  • β€’ Time: 7:15 PM CT

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πŸ”₯ Top Pick of the Day

UTA Jazz @ DEN Nuggets – Under 248.5 (βˆ’112) β€” 1.5u

  1. UTA Jazz @ DEN Nuggets – Under 248.5 (βˆ’112) β€” 1.5u

  2. Game: UTA Jazz @ DEN Nuggets

  3. Tip: 8:00 PM CT

  4. EV: β‰ˆ +7–8%

  5. Why we like it: This number is inflated for a Denver home game. Our sims land this matchup closer to the high 230s/low 240s, with Denver’s half-court style and Utah’s inconsistency limiting true track-meet odds. Even with offensive talent on both sides, 248.5 sits well above our median outcome, giving us a strong edge to the Under.

  6. Play to: Under 246.5 (≀ βˆ’115)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

  • Market: Game Total

  • Play: UTA Jazz @ DEN Nuggets – Under 248.5 (βˆ’112)

  • Units: 1.5u

  • Time: 8:00 PM CT

⭐ Pick 2

MEM Grizzlies +15.5 (βˆ’105) @ OKC Thunder β€” 1.25u

  1. MEM Grizzlies +15.5 (βˆ’105) β€” 1.25u

  2. Game: MEM Grizzlies @ OKC Thunder

  3. Tip: 8:30 PM CT

  4. EV: β‰ˆ +5–6%

  5. Why we like it: OKC is elite, but -15.5 is a monster number in the NBA. Our power ratings put this closer to Thunder -12.5, and double-digit dogs with this much cushion cover a high percentage of the time even when the favorite wins comfortably. Memphis doesn’t have to be greatβ€”just competitive enough to avoid a full-on 20+ blowout.

  6. Play to: Grizzlies +14.5 (≀ βˆ’115)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

  • Market: Spread

  • Play: MEM Grizzlies +15.5 (βˆ’105)

  • Units: 1.25u

  • Time: 8:30 PM CT

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