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November 5th πŸ”₯πŸ‘‡

πŸ”₯ Top Pick of the Day β€” 1.5u

Boston Celtics βˆ’11.5 (βˆ’110) vs Wizards β€’ 6:30 PM CT
Why We Love It:

  • Boston’s pace + half-court defense projects to bury WAS early.

  • Wizards turnover % modeled +3–4% over average; Tatum/Brown off-ball scoring routes grade A+.
    Model: Cover β‰ˆ 57–59% | BE 52.4% | EV β‰ˆ +4–6%
    Play to: βˆ’12 (βˆ’110)

βœ… Pick 2 β€” 1.25u

OKC Thunder βˆ’4.5 (βˆ’115) at Trail Blazers β€’ 9:00 PM CT
Why We Love It:

  • OKC’s rim-pressure + FT rate vs POR’s thin rotation = mismatch.

  • SGA drives create repeated paint looks; fatigue edge 2H.
    Model: Cover β‰ˆ 56–58% | BE 53.5% | EV β‰ˆ +3–5%
    Play to: βˆ’5 (βˆ’110)

πŸ’ͺ Pick 3 β€” 1.0u

LA Lakers βˆ’2.5 (βˆ’110) vs Spurs β€’ 9:00 PM CT
Why We Love It:

  • Lakers’ rebounding + paint dominance crushes SA’s transition D.

  • LeBron/AD staggered minutes = +7 net rating 4Q swing.
    Model: Cover β‰ˆ 54–56% | BE 52.4% | EV β‰ˆ +2–4%
    Play to: βˆ’3 (βˆ’110)

πŸ’° Summary (CT)

Pick

Play

Units

Start Time

πŸ”₯ Top Pick

Celtics βˆ’11.5 (βˆ’110)

1.5u

6:00 PM CT

βœ… Pick 2

Thunder βˆ’4.5 (βˆ’115)

1.25u

9:00 PM CT

πŸ’ͺ Pick 3

Lakers βˆ’2.5 (βˆ’110)

1.0u

9:00 PM CT

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