🔥 Top Pick of the Day

HOU Rockets −8.5 (−102) — 1.0u
Game: POR Trail Blazers @ Houston Rockets
Tip: 7:00 PM CT
EV: +7%
Why we love it: Portland’s shot creation is thin and Houston’s depth/defense creates multiple blowout paths. Our number leans closer to HOU −9.5/−10.
Play to: −9.5 (≤ −110)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

• Market: Spread

• Play: Rockets −8.5 (−102)

• Units: 1.0u

• Time: 7:00 PM CT

✅ Pick 2

MIN Timberwolves −12.5 (−110) — 0.75u
Game: SAC Kings @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Tip: 7:00 PM CT
EV: +3%
Why we like it: Wolves’ elite defense vs a shorthanded Kings profile; we still show an edge even after the move from −11.5 to −12.5.
Play to: −12.5 (≤ −115)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

• Market: Spread

• Play: Timberwolves −12.5 (−110)

• Units: 0.75u

• Time: 7:00 PM CT

🏈🏈🏈CFB🏈🏈🏈👇👇

🔥 Top Pick of the Day — 1.0 Unit

Louisville −2.5 (−108 DK) 7:00 CT

Why we love it

• Small but stacked edges: early-down success, finishing drives, and net field position favor the Cards at home.

• Clemson’s explosive-play rate projects down against Louisville’s coverage/pressure mix—fewer cheap scores.

• Under the key of 3 at home is the value we want.

Model snapshot (10K sims)
Cover ~56% • Fair line Louisville −3.3 • EV ~+5–6%

Play-to rules

• −2.5 (≤ −115) keep 1.0u

• −3 (−105/−110) trim to 0.75u

• Worse than −3 at heavy juice → pass

🧾 Lock It In (DK)
Market: Spread • Louisville −2.5 • −108 • 1.0u • 7:00 PM CT

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