🔥 Top Pick of the Day

HOU Rockets -10.5 (−102) — 1.5u

1. HOU Rockets -10.5 (−102) — 1.5u

2. Game: HOU Rockets @ NO Pelicans

3. Tip: 7:00 PM CT

4. EV: ≈ +8–9%

5. Why we like it: Houston grades as a clear tier above a Pelicans team that’s been one of the worst in the league on both ends. Our number makes this closer to Rockets -12, with big edges in half-court efficiency and defense. If the Rockets simply play to their season averages, they win this going away.

6. Play to: Rockets -11.5 (≤ −115)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

• Market: Spread

• Play: HOU Rockets -10.5 (−102)

• Units: 1.5u

• Time: 7:00 PM CT

⭐ Pick 2

ATL Hawks -5.5 (−105) — 1.25u

1. ATL Hawks -5.5 (−105) — 1.25u

2. Game: ATL Hawks @ CHA Hornets

3. Tip: 6:00 PM CT

4. EV: ≈ +6–7%

5. Why we like it: Charlotte’s defense is bottom-tier and struggles badly at the rim and behind the arc. Atlanta’s offense should get anything it wants and has a clear edge in shot quality and creation. Our projection sits closer to Hawks -7, so laying -5.5 gives us solid value against a Hornets team that rarely gets stops.

6. Play to: Hawks -6.5 (≤ −115)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

• Market: Spread

• Play: ATL Hawks -5.5 (−105)

• Units: 1.25u

• Time: 6:00 PM CT

⭐ Pick 3

SAC Kings +8.5 (−105) — 1.0u

1. SAC Kings +8.5 (−105) — 1.0u

2. Game: SAC Kings @ POR Trail Blazers

3. Tip: 9:00 PM CT

4. EV: ≈ +5–6%

5. Why we like it: Portland is better than Sacramento right now, but not so much better that they should be laying close to double digits. Our number comes in nearer to Blazers -6.5/-7, and the Kings’ offense is just good enough to keep this inside the number a majority of the time. We’re buying low on a bad team in a matchup where the market is a little too high on the favorite.

6. Play to: Kings +7.5 (≤ −115)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

• Market: Spread

• Play: SAC Kings +8.5 (−105)

• Units: 1.0u

• Time: 9:00 PM CT

🏈🏈👇🏈🏈

🔥 Top Pick of the Day (CFB)

Arkansas State Moneyline −112 — 1.0u
Game: Missouri State @ Arkansas State
Kick: 8:00 PM CT
EV: ~+2–3% (10K MC win ≈ 54–55%)
Why we like it: Small but real home-field edge, stronger early-down success and red-zone TD rate. In a near pick’em our number makes Ark St ~−1.5 to −2, so ML is the cleanest path.

Play to: ML ≤ −118 (keep 1.0u). If ML drifts worse than −118, Ark St −1 (−110) = 0.75–1.0u.

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

• Market: Moneyline

• Play: Arkansas State −112

• Units: 1.0u

• Time: 8:00 PM CT

🏒🏒🏒👇🏒🏒🏒

🔥 Top Pick of the Day

LA Kings +1.5 (−155) — 1.0u
Game: LA Kings @ TB Lightning
Kick: 6:10 PM CT
EV: +1.7%
Why we like it: This profiles as a tight 1-goal game more often than the -155 implies — value on the +1.5 cushion.
Play to: +1.5 (≤ −160)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)
• Market: Puck Line
• Play: LA Kings +1.5 (−155)
• Units: 1.0u
• Time: 6:10 PM CT

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