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Philadelphia Eagles at Los Angeles Chargers

Tab Martin
December 08, 2025

Philadelphia Eagles −1.5 (−115) — 0.75u
Game: Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Chargers
Kick: 7:15 PM CT
EV: ~+2–3% (MC cover ≈ 55–56%)
Why we like it:
- Eagles’ front should control a Chargers offensive line that’s missing key pieces.
- Herbert is coming off hand surgery and figures to face steady pressure on obvious passing downs.
- Our number makes this closer to PHI −2.5, so laying −1.5 at −115 gives a modest but real edge vs the market.
Play to: −2.5 (≤ −110)

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San Antonio Spurs -9.5 (−110) — 1.5u

Game: SA Spurs @ NO Pelicans
Tip: 7:00 PM CT
EV: ≈ +6–7%
Why we like it: Massive gap in form and efficiency; Spurs own a big edge in offense, depth, and defensive rating while the Pelicans are decimated and bottom-tier on both ends. Even with Wemby out, SA’s supporting cast should roll.
Play to: Spurs -10.5 (≤ −115)

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Minnesota Timberwolves -9.5 (−110) — 1.25u

Game: PHX Suns @ MIN Timberwolves
Tip: 6:30 PM CT
EV: ≈ +4–5%
Why we like it: Wolves’ elite defense and size get a Booker-less Suns offense that struggles to create clean looks in the half court. MIN’s rebounding and interior edge should separate this in the second half.
Play to: Wolves -10.5 (≤ −115)

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Indiana Pacers -3.5 (−115) — 1.0u

Game: SAC Kings @ IND Pacers
Tip: 6:00 PM CT
EV: ≈ +3–4%
Why we like it: Kings are in a tough spot without Sabonis and potentially missing more creators; Indy’s size and home-court edge plus better recent form give them the upper hand over four quarters.
Play to: Pacers -4.5 (≤ −115)

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