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Author

Tab Martin
December 25, 2025

🔥 Top Pick of the Day

BRONCOS @ CHIEFS — Under 36.5 (−112) — 1.5u
Game: Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs
Kick: 7:15 PM CT
EV: +4.2%
Why we like it: Low total + KC banged up + Denver missing key pieces up front = slower, grindy script.
Play to: 36.0 (≤ −120)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)
• Market: Total
• Play: Under 36.5 (−112)
• Units: 1.5u
• Time: 7:15 PM CT

✅ Pick #2

COWBOYS −8.5 (−110) — 1.0u
Game: Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Commanders
Kick: 12:00 PM CT
EV: +2.6%
Why we like it: Washington is down to Josh Johnson at QB and missing key trench pieces—Dallas has the leverage edge to control game flow.
Play to: −9.0 (≤ −115)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)
• Market: Spread
• Play: Cowboys −8.5 (−110)
• Units: 1.0u
• Time: 12:00 PM CT

🏈🏈🏀🏀👇👇

🔥 Top Pick of the Day

  1. OKC Thunder -9.5 (−102) — 1.5u

  2. Game: SA Spurs @ OKC Thunder

  3. Tip: 1:30 PM CT

  4. EV: +7%

  5. Why we like it: OKC grades as a legitimate top-tier team on both ends, while San Antonio still gives the ball away and bleeds efficiency; our number makes this closer to Thunder -11, so we’re getting value laying single digits at home.

  6. Play to: Thunder -10.5 (≤ −115)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

  • Market: Spread

  • Play: OKC Thunder -9.5 (−102)

  • Units: 1.5u

  • Time: 1:30 PM CT

⭐ Pick 2

  1. MIN Timberwolves +2.5 (−108) — 1.25u

  2. Game: MIN Timberwolves @ DEN Nuggets

  3. Tip: 9:30 PM CT

  4. EV: +5–6%

  5. Why we like it: Denver is still dangerous with Jokic, but they’re thinner on the wings, and Minnesota’s size and defense travel; our numbers make this basically a coin-flip game, so catching +2.5 with the Wolves gives us a solid cushion.

  6. Play to: Timberwolves +1.5 (≤ −115)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

  • Market: Spread

  • Play: MIN Timberwolves +2.5 (−108)

  • Units: 1.25u

  • Time: 9:30 PM CT

⭐ Pick 3

  1. HOU Rockets -2.5 (−112) — 1.0u

  2. Game: HOU Rockets @ LA Lakers

  3. Tip: 7:00 PM CT

  4. EV: +4–5%

  5. Why we like it: Houston’s defense and half-court efficiency rate better than the Lakers’ right now, and the Rockets’ shot profile (rim + threes) matches up well with L.A.’s weaknesses; our line sits closer to Rockets -4, so laying -2.5 is a short and playable number.

  6. Play to: Rockets -3.5 (≤ −115)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

  • Market: Spread

  • Play: HOU Rockets -2.5 (−112)

  • Units: 1.0u

  • Time: 7:00 PM CT

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