📬 BetSignalAI — NFL & NBA Top Picks

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Tab Martin
December 14, 2025

SF 49ers −11.5 (−112) — 2.0u
Game: Tennessee Titans @ San Francisco 49ers
Kick: Sun 3:25 PM CT
10K MC cover: ~60%
EV: ≈ +14%
Why we like it: Our sims have this closer to Niners −14 with a huge mismatch in offensive efficiency and overall talent. Tennessee’s defense has cratered and struggles badly vs balanced attacks like San Francisco’s.
Play to: −12.5 (≤ −115)

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DEN Broncos +1.5 (−115) — 1.5u
Game: Green Bay Packers @ Denver Broncos
Kick: Sun 3:25 PM CT
10K MC cover: ~59%
EV: ≈ +10%
Why we like it: Our power ratings actually make Denver a small favorite at home. Getting +1.5 at modest juice gives us a solid dog edge in what profiles as a one-score game either way.
Play to: +1.0 (≤ −115)

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HOU Texans −10.5 (−105) — 1.5u
Game: Arizona Cardinals @ Houston Texans
Kick: Sun 12:00 PM CT
10K MC cover: ~58%
EV: ≈ +13%
Why we like it: Houston’s offense is rolling and the current version of Arizona is severely undermanned on both sides. Our number lands closer to Texans −12, and laying −10.5 at discounted juice creates one of the bigger favorite edges on the board.
Play to: −11.5 (≤ −115)

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NO Saints +2.5 (+100) — 1.5u
Game: Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints
Kick: Sun 3:25 PM CT
10K MC cover: ~57%
EV: ≈ +14%
Why we like it: Injury-adjusted, we make New Orleans a small favorite at home. Catching +2.5 at even money gives us both key-field-goal protection and one of the best probability edges of the week.
Play to: +1.5 (≥ −105)

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GS Warriors -4.5 (−105) — 1.5u

GS Warriors -4.5 (−105) — 1.5u
Game: GS Warriors @ POR Trail Blazers
Tip: 8:10 PM CT
EV: ≈ +12–15%
Why we like it: With Curry back, Golden State’s offense jumps a tier, and our numbers have this closer to Warriors -7 against a very thin Portland roster. Even on the road, their shot creation and experience create a big edge over a Blazers team that struggles to score efficiently.
Play to: Warriors -5.5 (≤ −115)

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PHI 76ers +5.5 (−118) — 1.25u

PHI 76ers +5.5 (−118) — 1.25u
Game: PHI 76ers @ ATL Hawks
Tip: 5:10 PM CT
EV: ≈ +8–10%
Why we like it: Our model makes this more like Hawks -2.5, so we’re catching a couple extra points with the better defensive team and the best player on the floor. Philly’s ability to win at the line and control the glass keeps this inside the number a strong majority of the time, with real upset equity.
Play to: 76ers +4.5 (≤ −115)

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CLE Cavaliers -10.5 (−110) — 1.0u

CLE Cavaliers -10.5 (−110) — 1.0u
Game: CHA Hornets @ CLE Cavaliers
Tip: 2:40 PM CT
EV: ≈ +7–9%
Why we like it: Charlotte comes in shorthanded and bottom-tier on both ends, while Cleveland has a clear talent advantage and the scoring punch to separate over four quarters. Our projection sits closer to Cavs -12.5, so we’re still getting value under -11 in a spot where a blowout is on the table.
Play to: Cavaliers -11.5 (≤ −115)

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