📬 BetSignalAI — NFL Sunday Oct 12

DraftKings only • One pick per matchup • All times Central

Author

Tab Martin
October 12, 2025

🔥 Top Pick — 1.5u (Strong 4/5)
Dallas Cowboys −3 (−112 DK) @ Carolina Panthers — 12:00 PM CT
Why We Love It: Under a key number with pass-rush + early-down edge; multiple cover paths without needing a blowout.
Play to: −3 (≤ −120). At −3.5, trim to 0.75–1.0u.

✅ Pick 2 — 1.5u (Strong 4/5)
Titans @ Raiders — Under 41.5 (−108 DK) — 3:05 PM CT
Why We Love It: Run-lean scripts and low explosive rates; our drive sims cluster around 40–41.
Play to: Under 41.5 (≤ −115). At 41.0, cut to 1.0u.

✅ Pick 3 — 1.0u (Edge 3/5)
Kansas City Chiefs −2.5 (−112 DK) vs Detroit Lions — 7:20 PM CT
Why We Love It: Home + short-field advantage; early-down efficiency pushes KC’s median margin past a field goal.
Play to: −2.5 (≤ −120); at −3, trim to 0.75–1.0u.

➕ Pick 4 — 1.0u (Edge 3/5)
JK Dobbins 70+ Rushing Yards (+111 DK) 8:30am CT
Why We Love It: Lead-share rushing role with multiple paths to 70 (volume + explosives); our 10k MC p̂ ≈ 55% vs 52.6% breakeven.
Play to: −115. (Optional add-on: 80+ at +154 for 0.5–0.75u; keep total Dobbins exposure ≤ 2.0u.)

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