BetSignalAI — Saturday College Card 🔥🏈

🔒 Top Play — 1.25 Units

Georgia −19.5 (−110) vs Kentucky
Kick: 11:00 AM CT
Why we love it: Trench + finishing-drives mismatch; our median lands around UGA −22 with Kentucky’s explosive rate muted.
Play to: −20 (≤ −110) or −20.5 (−105/−110, trim to 1.0u)

📈 Second Play — 0.75 Units

Penn State −24.5 (−110) @ UCLA
Kick: 2:30 PM CT
Why we love it: Pressure + field-position edge; even with true road HFA baked in, our fair still clears mid-20s often enough.
Play to: −24.5 (≤ −115) or −24 (≤ −120)

⚾⚾⚾⚾

🔥 Top Pick of the Day⚾⚾ — 1.5u

• We avoid laying −225 ML and take plus money on the run line: Kirby’s elite K:BB and command vs a volatile rookie, then SEA’s leverage pen to close.

• Postseason pace + home field create multiple 2+ run separation paths.
  Numbers: BE 49.75% • BSAI RL cover ≈ 53.0% → Edge +3.25 pts • EV ≈ +6.6% ROI
  Play to: −105

🧾 Lock It In (DK)
Run Line • SEA −1.5 (+101) • 1.5u • 8:08 PM CT

✅ Pick 2 — 1.0u

Brewers ML (−158) vs Cubs — Sat 1:08 PM CT
Pitchers: Freddy Peralta vs Matthew Boyd
Why we love it

• Peralta’s whiff/CSW profile + home pen leverage in a total 7 game (lower variance) tilts the ML.
  Numbers: BE 61.24% • BSAI win ≈ 63.8% → Edge +2.56 pts • EV ≈ +4.1%
  Play to: −170

🧾 Lock It In (DK)
Moneyline • MIL −158 • 1.0u • 1:08 PM CT

✅ Pick 3 — 1.0u

Blue Jays ML (−126) vs Yankees — Sat 3:08 PM CT
Pitchers: Kevin Gausman vs Luis Gil
Why we love it

• Gausman’s splitter vs a righty-leaning order + home bullpen chain; even with total 8, our sims shade TOR on run prevention.
  Numbers: BE 55.75% • BSAI win ≈ 57.8% → Edge +2.05 pts • EV ≈ +3.6%
  Play to: −135

🧾 Lock It In (DK)
Moneyline • TOR −126 • 1.0u • 3:08 PM CT

Notes

• One pick per matchup maintained.

• If a price moves past the play-to number, pass to protect EV.

• Starters & bullpens are fully baked into our 10K-run Monte Carlo (BF, K/BB, TTO penalty, leverage relievers).