🔒 Top Plays — 1.25 Units each

Alabama −8.5 (−105) vs Tennessee
Kick: 6:30 PM CT
Why: Early-down efficiency + red-zone edge; Bama trench/pressure profile tilts short-field chances and limits Vol explosives.
Play to: −9 (≤ −110); at −9.5, trim to 1.0u.

Missouri −1.5 (−110) at Auburn
Kick: 6:45 PM CT
Why: Mizzou holds the early-down success + finishing-drives edge; with a low total (43.5), short-favorite value rises.
Play to: −2.5 (−105/−110); −3 = 0.75–1.0u.

📈 Primary Sides — 1.0 Unit each

Oregon −17.5 (−110) at Rutgers
Kick: 5:30 PM CT
Why: Ducks own edges in early-down success, explosive-pass rate, and finishing drives; higher total supports separation scripts.
Play to: −17.5 (≤ −115). −17 (≤ −125) → okay to bump to 1.25u. −18/−18.5 → 0.75u.

Cincinnati −23.5 (−110) vs Oklahoma State
Kick: 7:00 PM CT
Why: Explosives + red-zone advantages with a total 57.5 that supports margin; our fair is mid-25s.
Play to: −24.5 (≤ −110); −25 = 0.75u.

📉 Total — 1.0 Unit

LSU–Vanderbilt UNDER 47.5 (−105)
Kick: 11:00 AM CT
Why: Methodical pace + limited explosives; multiple scripts cluster mid-40s.
Play to: Under 47 (≤ −110); 46.5 = 0.75u.

Quick Ticket

• Alabama −8.5 — 1.25u (to −9 ≤ −110; −9.5 = 1.0u)

• Missouri −1.5 — 1.25u (to −2.5 −105/−110; −3 = 0.75–1.0u)

• Oregon −17.5 — 1.0u (to −17.5 ≤ −115; −17 ≤ −125 = 1.25u)

• Cincinnati −23.5 — 1.0u (to −24.5 ≤ −110; −25 = 0.75u)

• LSU–Vandy Under 47.5 — 1.0u (to 47 ≤ −110; 46.5 = 0.75u)

Discipline: Singles are the grind; parlays tracked separately. If your book is outside our play-to number/price, skip it—we don’t chase.

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