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  • 📬 BetSignalAI 🏈⚾— September 14th

📬 BetSignalAI 🏈⚾— September 14th

Sweeping this slate

Author

Tab Martin
September 14, 2025

📬 BetSignalAI — September 14, 2025 (NFL Sunday)
DraftKings lines only • One pick per matchup • All times Central (CT)

🔥 Top Pick of the Day — 2.0u
CeeDee Lamb (DAL) 70+ Receiving Yards (−157 DK)
Matchup: Giants @ Cowboys — 12:00 PM CT
Why We Love It:

  • Alpha target share + heavy intermediate usage vs NYG’s zones.

  • Multiple paths to 70 (volume + YAC); our sims clear this well above price.

  • Safer ladder rung than 78.5/80+ while retaining strong EV.

🧾 Lock It In (DK Ticket)

  • Bet Type: Alt Receiving Yards (70+)

  • Player/Team: CeeDee Lamb, Cowboys

  • Opponent: New York Giants

  • Odds: −157

  • Units: 2.0u

  • Play to: −165 (then 1.5u); if worse than −175, pivot to 78.5 (≤ −115).

🏈 Pick 2 — 1.5u
Miami Dolphins −1.5 (−110 DK)
Matchup: Patriots @ Dolphins — 12:00 PM CT
Why We Love It:

  • Early-down efficiency + explosives tilt to MIA at home.

  • Fair makes this closer to −2.5/−3; −1.5 captures key win paths without late-game variance.

🧾 Lock It In (DK Ticket)

  • Bet Type: Spread

  • Team: Miami Dolphins

  • Opponent: New England Patriots

  • Odds: −110

  • Units: 1.5u

  • Play to: −1.5 (−120). At −3: 1.0u. Pass at −3.5.

💥 Pick 3 — 1.0u
Marvin Harrison Jr. (ARI) Anytime TD (+155 DK)
Matchup: Panthers @ Cardinals — 3:05 PM CT
Why We Love It:

  • Red-zone/alpha usage gives clean TD paths vs CAR’s perimeter depth.

  • Plus-money with a modeled strike rate above implied.

🧾 Lock It In (DK Ticket)

  • Bet Type: Anytime TD Scorer

  • Player/Team: Marvin Harrison Jr., Cardinals

  • Opponent: Carolina Panthers

  • Odds: +155

  • Units: 1.0u

  • Play to: +140.

📬 BetSignalAI - (MLB)

All start times in Central Time. DraftKings odds only. One pick per matchup. Units shown.

🔥 Top Pick of the Day — 1.5u

Seattle Mariners −1.5 (Run Line) −105 (DraftKings)
Opponent: Los Angeles Angels • Start: 3:10 PM CT

Why We Love It

  • SP edge: George Kirby vs a light-contact lineup.

  • Model: Cover ≈ 56% → fair ~−127; value near even money.

🧾 Lock It In (DK Ticket)

  • Bet Type: Run Line −1.5

  • Pick: Mariners −1.5

  • Odds: −105 (DraftKings)

  • Units: 1.5u

  • Play to: −120

✅ Pick #2 — 1.0u

Houston Astros — Moneyline −137 (DraftKings)
Opponent: Atlanta Braves • Start: 12:35 PM CT

Why We Love It

  • SP/pen edge + steadier form.

  • Model: Win ≈ 59–60% → fair −147 to −152; −137 (DK) is +EV.

🧾 Lock It In (DK Ticket)

  • Bet Type: Moneyline

  • Pick: Astros ML

  • Odds: −137 (DraftKings)

  • Units: 1.0u

  • Play to: −150

✅ Pick #3 — 1.0u (Batter Prop — Padres)

Manny Machado — HRR 3+ +115 (DraftKings)
Opponent: Colorado Rockies • Start: 3:10 PM CT
(HRR = Hits + Runs + RBIs)

Why We Love It

  • Multiple paths (single+run+RBI or HR alone = 4 HRR).

  • Model: Clear ≈ 50–52% → fair around −105; +115 (DK) is a strong upgrade.

🧾 Lock It In (DK Ticket)

  • Bet Type: HRR 3+

  • Pick: Machado HRR 3+

  • Odds: +115 (DraftKings)

  • Units: 1.0u

  • Play to: +100 (need plus money)

  • Contingency: If Machado doesn’t start or price drops below +100, pivot to Fernando Tatis Jr. — HRR 3+ +100 (DraftKings).

📊 Today’s Card (CT)

  • Mariners −1.5 −105 (DK) — 1.5u — 3:10 PM vs Angels

  • Astros ML −137 (DK) — 1.0u — 6:15 PM @ Braves

  • Machado HRR 3+ +115 (DK) — 1.0u — 3:10 PM vs Rockies

    • If out / price < +100 → Tatis Jr. HRR 3+ +100 (DK)

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