- BetSignalAI
- Posts
- π¬ BetSignalAI βΎβ September 17th
π¬ BetSignalAI βΎβ September 17th
π₯MLB 17-6 LAST 8 DAYS
π₯ Top Pick of the Day β 1.5u
Milwaukee Brewers β1.5 (Run Line) +109 (DraftKings)
Opponent: Los Angeles Angels β’ Start: 6:40 PM CT
Why We Love It
SP edge: Brandon Woodruff at home vs JosΓ© Soriano; bullpen + defense tilt to MIL.
Model: 10K sims cover β 57β59% β fair ~β135; at +109 (DK) this is a big +EV spot.
π§Ύ Lock It In (DK Ticket)
Bet Type: Run Line β1.5
Odds: +109 (DraftKings)
Units: 1.5u
Play to: β128 (β₯ β130 β 0.75u; β₯ β135 β pass)
β Pick #2 β 1.0u
Seattle Mariners β Moneyline β102 (DraftKings)
Opponent: Kansas City Royals β’ Start: 6:40 PM CT
Why We Love It
Matchup: Bryce Miller vs Cole Ragans; near pickβem price but our win% sits ~56β57% with bullpen help.
Value: β102 (DK) beats our fair β128 to β133 band.
π§Ύ Lock It In (DK Ticket)
Bet Type: Moneyline
Odds: β102 (DraftKings)
Units: 1.0u
Play to: β135
β Pick #3 β 1.0u (Batter Prop)
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) β 2+ Total Bases +114 (DraftKings)
Opponent: Kansas City Royals β’ Start: 6:40 PM CT
Why We Love It
Power path: Extra-base pop + likely PA volume with the lineup rolling.
Model: Clear β 52β54% β fair near β110; +114 (DK) is strong +EV.
π§Ύ Lock It In (DK Ticket)
Bet Type: Batter Prop (2+ TB)
Odds: +114 (DraftKings)
Units: 1.0u
Play to: β105
Contingency: If Raleigh doesnβt start or price drops worse than β105, pivot to Julio RodrΓguez β 2+ TB +105 or better (DraftKings) in the same game.
π Todayβs Card (CT)
Brewers β1.5 +109 (DK) β 1.5u β 6:40 PM vs Angels
Mariners ML β102 (DK) β 1.0u β 6:40 PM @ Royals
Cal Raleigh 2+ TB +114 (DK) β 1.0u β 6:40 PM @ Royals
π Join the Movement
π© Newsletter (DraftKings-only picks): https://tabs-newsletter-ecf9bc.beehiiv.com/subscribe