🔒 Top Play🏈🏈 — 1.25 Units

Houston −13.5 (−110) at Oregon State
Kick: 9:30 PM CT
Model (10K sims): cover ~58–60% • EV ~+9–12%
Why we love it: clear EPA/success-rate gap, drive-finishing edge, and Beavs’ scoring ceiling looks capped → two-TD cover shows often.
Play to: −13.5 (≤ −120) or −14 (−105/−110)

📈 1.0 Unit

TCU +3 (−112) at Arizona State
Kick: 8:00 PM CT
Model: cover ~54–55% • EV ~+3–5%
Why: better havoc prevention + passing-success edge; +3 captures the FG game with live ML upside.
Play to: +3 (≤ −120). If it drops to +2.5, consider small ML +124 instead.

🔥 Top Pick of the Day⚾⚾ — 1.5u

Toronto Blue Jays −1.5 (Run Line) +118 (DraftKings)
Opponent: Tampa Bay Rays • Start: 6:07 PM CT
Why: We preferred RL at plus money all along; +118 is a strong value grab vs a pricey ML.

🧾 Lock It In (DK Ticket)

• Bet: Blue Jays −1.5

• Odds: +118 (DK)

• Units: 1.5u

• Play to: +100 (≤ +100 → 1.0u)

✅ Pick #2 — 0.75u

San Francisco Giants −1.5 (Run Line) −112 (DraftKings)
Opponent: Colorado Rockies • Start: 9:15 PM CT
Why: We wanted plus money, but the matchup still supports a multi-run lane; we trim units at the juicier tag.

🧾 Lock It In (DK Ticket)

• Bet: Giants −1.5

• Odds: −112 (DK)

• Units: 0.75u

• Play to: −115 (worse than −115 → 0.5u or pass)

🚀 Join the Movement

👇👇👇
Newsletter: https://tabs-newsletter-ecf9bc.beehiiv.com/subscribe