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  • 📬 BetSignalAI 🔥— September 9th, (MLB)

📬 BetSignalAI 🔥— September 9th, (MLB)

🧹⚾ LETS GOOOO ⚾🧹

Author

Tab Martin
September 09, 2025

🔥 Top Pick of the Day — 2.0u

Philadelphia Phillies — Moneyline (−132 DK)
Opponent: New York Mets
Start: 5:45 PM CT

Why We Love It

  • SP edge: Ranger Suárez’s form and command profile grade A-tier vs NYM.

  • Model: 10K Monte Carlo win ≈ 60% → fair ~−150 (+EV at −132).

  • Stability: Home field + bullpen advantage lift cover consistency.

🧾 Lock It In (DK Ticket)

  • Bet Type: Moneyline

  • Pick: Phillies ML

  • Odds: −132

  • Units: 2.0u

  • Play-to ladder:

    • 2.0u down to −133

    • 1.5u at −134 to −138

    • 1.0u at −139 to −143

    • Pass if worse than −143

✅ Pick #2 — 1.0u

Seattle Mariners −1.5 Run Line (+100 DK)
Opponent: St. Louis Cardinals
Start: 8:40 PM CT

Why We Love It

  • Price discipline: ML around −215 is outside our guardrails; RL +100 unlocks value.

  • Matchup fit: Home SP/pen edge vs a middling STL offense.

  • Model: Cover rate ~54–55% at plus money.

🧾 Lock It In (DK Ticket)

  • Bet Type: Run Line −1.5

  • Pick: Mariners −1.5

  • Odds: +100

  • Units: 1.0u

  • Play to: −110

✅ Pick #3 — 1.0u (Batter Prop)

Freddie Freeman (Dodgers) — 2+ Total Bases (+105 DK)
Opponent: Colorado Rockies
Start: 9:10 PM CT

Why We Love It

  • XBH profile: Elite recent hard-hit% with consistent gap power.

  • Spot boost: Favorable matchup increases PA volume and 2B/HR likelihood.

  • Model: Clear rate ≈ 55–56% → fair ~−120.

🧾 Lock It In (DK Ticket)

  • Bet Type: Batter Prop

  • Pick: Freeman 2+ TB

  • Odds: +105

  • Units: 1.0u

  • Play to: −110 (or any plus price)

📊 Today’s Card (CT)

  • Phillies ML −132 (2.0u) — 5:45 PM vs Mets

  • Mariners −1.5 +100 (1.0u) — 8:40 PM vs Cardinals

  • Freeman 2+ TB +105 (1.0u) — 9:10 PM vs Rockies

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