📬 BetSignalAI — 🏈TNF & 🏀NBA

LETS EAT 🔥🎯🔥

Author

Tab Martin
December 11, 2025

🔥 Top Pick of the Day

Tampa Bay Buccaneers −4.5 (−108) — 1.0u

  1. Bucs −4.5 (−108) — 1.0u

  2. Game: Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  3. Kick: Thu 7:15 PM CT

  4. EV: ≈ +3–4%

  5. Why we like it: With Tampa finally healthy at receiver and Atlanta missing Drake London, our number is closer to TB −5.5. The Bucs have the better offensive ceiling and should control game script at home.

  6. Play to: −5.5 (≤ −115)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

  • Market: Spread

  • Play: Tampa Bay Buccaneers −4.5 (−108)

  • Units: 1.0u

  • Time: Thu 7:15 PM CT

💪 Prop 1 — Bijan Ground Game

Bijan Robinson (ATL) 80+ Rush Yards (+108) — 0.75u

  1. Bijan Robinson 80+ Rush Yards (+108) — 0.75u

  2. Game: Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  3. Kick: Thu 7:15 PM CT

  4. EV: ≈ +10–12%

  5. Why we like it: Bijan is the clear engine of the Falcons’ offense and has been living in the 80+ range all season. With Atlanta down its WR1, we expect a heavy run-centric game plan that funnels volume through him.

  6. Play to: 80+ (≥ +100)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

  • Market: Player Rush Yards (Alt)

  • Play: Bijan Robinson 80+ Rush Yards (+108)

  • Units: 0.75u

  • Time: Thu 7:15 PM CT

🚀 Prop 2 — Rachaad’s Floor

Rachaad White (TB) 20+ Rush Yards (+124) — 0.5u

  1. Rachaad White 20+ Rush Yards (+124) — 0.5u

  2. Game: Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  3. Kick: Thu 7:15 PM CT

  4. EV: Strong positive (we have him clearing this in a large majority of sims)

  5. Why we like it: Even in a No. 2 role, White typically sees enough carries to cruise past 20 on the ground. In a projected positive script for Tampa, this is a very modest threshold with a juicy plus price.

  6. Play to: 20+ (≥ +110)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

  • Market: Player Rush Yards (Alt)

  • Play: Rachaad White 20+ Rush Yards (+124)

  • Units: 0.5u

  • Time: Thu 7:15 PM CT

🎯 Prop 3 — Baker Through the Air

Baker Mayfield (TB) 220+ Pass Yards (−106) — 0.5u

  1. Baker Mayfield 220+ Pass Yards (−106) — 0.5u

  2. Game: Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  3. Kick: Thu 7:15 PM CT

  4. EV: ≈ +6–8%

  5. Why we like it: With Mike Evans back alongside Godwin, McMillan, and Egbuka, we project Baker in the low 230s. Atlanta’s pass rush is real, but their secondary isn’t a shutdown unit; 220+ cashes more often than the current price implies.

  6. Play to: 220+ (≤ −120)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

  • Market: Player Pass Yards (Alt)

  • Play: Baker Mayfield 220+ Pass Yards (−106)

  • Units: 0.5u

  • Time: Thu 7:15 PM CT

🏀🏀 NBA 🏀🏀

🔥 Top Pick of the Day

HOU Rockets -9.5 (+100) — 1.5u

  1. HOU Rockets -9.5 (+100) — 1.5u

  2. Game: LA Clippers @ HOU Rockets

  3. Tip: 7:00 PM CT

  4. EV: ≈ +7%

  5. Why we like it: Houston owns a massive edge in form, efficiency, and depth, while the Clippers are 1–7 in their last 8 and continue to struggle on both ends. Our DeepDive numbers make this closer to Rockets -11, so getting -9.5 at plus money is strong value.

  6. Play to: Rockets -10.5 (≤ -110)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

  • Market: Spread

  • Play: HOU Rockets -9.5 (+100)

  • Units: 1.5u

  • Time: 7:00 PM CT

⭐ Pick 2

DEN Nuggets -9.5 (-115) — 1.25u

  1. DEN Nuggets -9.5 (-115) — 1.25u

  2. Game: DEN Nuggets @ SAC Kings

  3. Tip: 9:00 PM CT

  4. EV: ≈ +5%

  5. Why we like it: Denver’s core is rolling, and Sacramento is without Sabonis and LaVine, gutting their offense and rebounding. Our sims make this more like Nuggets -11.5, and Denver’s road form has been elite.

  6. Play to: Nuggets -10.5 (≤ -110)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

  • Market: Spread

  • Play: DEN Nuggets -9.5 (-115)

  • Units: 1.25u

  • Time: 9:00 PM CT

⭐ Pick 3

POR Trail Blazers -4.5 (-112) — 1.25u

  1. POR Trail Blazers -4.5 (-112) — 1.25u

  2. Game: POR Trail Blazers @ NO Pelicans

  3. Tip: 7:00 PM CT

  4. EV: ≈ +4%

  5. Why we like it: Even with their own injuries, Portland still grades clearly higher than a depleted Pelicans squad that’s been one of the worst teams in the league on both ends. Our numbers have this closer to Blazers -6 to -6.5, so -4.5 is still a favorable number.

  6. Play to: Blazers -5.5 (≤ -112)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

  • Market: Spread

  • Play: POR Trail Blazers -4.5 (-112)

  • Units: 1.25u

  • Time: 7:00 PM CT

🎯 Bonus Prop 1

Nikola Jokic 13+ Rebounds (-104) — 1.0u

  1. Jokic 13+ rebounds (-104) — 1.0u

  2. Game: DEN Nuggets @ SAC Kings

  3. Tip: 9:00 PM CT

  4. EV: ≈ +9%

  5. Why we like it: Jokic already lives on the glass, and now he faces a Kings team missing Sabonis, softening their rebounding resistance. Our projection has him around 13 boards in this matchup with a strong hit rate for 13+.

  6. Play to: 13+ rebounds (≤ -120)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

  • Market: Player Rebounds

  • Play: Nikola Jokic 13+ Rebounds (-104)

  • Units: 1.0u

  • Time: 9:00 PM CT

🎯 Bonus Prop 2

Nikola Jokic 14+ Rebounds (+142) — 0.5u

  1. Jokic 14+ rebounds (+142) — 0.5u

  2. Game: DEN Nuggets @ SAC Kings

  3. Tip: 9:00 PM CT

  4. EV: ≈ +4% (ladder upside)

  5. Why we like it: With Sacramento’s interior weakened, Jokic has real upside games on the glass. Our sims show enough tail to the 14+ outcome to justify a smaller ladder piece at plus money.

  6. Play to: 14+ rebounds (down to +120)

🧾 Lock It In (DK)

  • Market: Player Rebounds Ladder

  • Play: Nikola Jokic 14+ Rebounds (+142)

  • Units: 0.5u

  • Time: 9:00 PM CT

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