MLB Picks

🧠 Pick #1: Houston Astros ML 🧠

📍 Matchup: Astros @ A’s
📊 Why:

• Framber Valdez (7–4, 3.10 ERA) gets the ball vs. MLB’s weakest offense in a neutral park.

• A’s are 13–23 at their temp home and rank bottom 2 in nearly every offensive metric.

• Sharp models and books both peg this as a top-tier moneyline edge.

✅ Play: Astros ML (~–160)
🧪 Confidence: 8.4/10
🚀 Valdez brings the heat. Oakland brings the fade.

🧠 Pick #2: Detroit Tigers ML 🧠

📍 Matchup: Tigers vs. Pirates
📊 Why:

• Tarik Skubal is pitching like an AL Cy Young front-runner: 0.81 WHIP, 1.87 FIP.

• Detroit is 24–9 at home, and the Bucs can’t hit lefties.

• Heavy action from sharp money and predictive models.

✅ Play: Tigers ML (~–300)
🧪 Confidence: 8.0/10
🧱 Rock-solid lefty meets soft-contact lineup.

🎯 Pick #3: Tarik Skubal 8+ Strikeouts 🧠

📍 Prop Play: Tigers vs. Pirates
📊 Why:

• Skubal’s averaged 8+ K’s per start in his last 5.

• Pirates strike out 28.1% vs LHP, worst in the NL.

• One of the most popular sharp props on the board.

✅ Play: 8+ Ks (–160)
🧪 Confidence: 8.5/10
💥 Swing and miss, swing and miss, swing and… cash.

🍯 Final Buzz:

• ✅ Astros cruise past Oakland.

• ✅ Skubal dominates and Detroit cashes again.

• ✅ K prop hits with punch-out power.

📬 Want alt-lines, same-game stacks, or evening player props?
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