📬 BetSignalAI — September 18, 2025 (NFL – Dolphins @ Bills)
DraftKings lines only • All times Central (CT) •

🔥 🏈Top Pick of the Day — 1.5u
Josh Allen (BUF) — Under 0.5 Interceptions (−156 DK)
Kickoff: 7:15 PM CT • Matchup: Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills
Why We Love It:

• Bills likely lean run/quick game as big home favorites.

• Our sims keep Allen’s no-pick rate well above the implied ~61%.

🧾 Lock It In (DK Ticket)

• Bet Type: QB Interceptions — Under 0.5

• Odds: −156

• Units: 1.5u

🏈 Pick 2 — 1.0u
Buffalo Bills −12.5 (−112 DK)
Kickoff: 7:15 PM CT • Matchup: Dolphins @ Bills
Why We Love It:

• Early-down efficiency + field position tilt to Buffalo at home.

• Our fair leans closer to two TDs than eleven.

🧾 Lock It In (DK Ticket)

• Bet Type: Spread

• Odds: −112

• Units: 1.0u

🏃 Pick 3 — 1.0u Ladder
James Cook (BUF) — Rushing Yards Ladder (DK)
Kickoff: 7:15 PM CT • Matchup: Dolphins @ Bills

• 0.50u — 70+ yards (−104)

• 0.30u — 80+ yards (+147)

• 0.20u — 100+ yards (+329)
  Why We Love It: Heavy-favorite script + chunk-run profile gives multiple paths to clear 70 with upside to spike 100.

✨ Bonus Pick — 0.5u
Keon Coleman (BUF) — Anytime TD (+165 DK)
Kickoff: 7:15 PM CT • Matchup: Dolphins @ Bills
Why We Love It: Red-zone role with Allen in a high-leverage home spot.

🔥 September 18th, 2025 MLB

All start times in Central Time. DraftKings odds only. One pick per matchup. Units shown.

🔥 Top Pick of the Day — 1.5u

Milwaukee Brewers −1.5 (Run Line) +113 (DraftKings)
Opponent: Los Angeles Angels • Start: 6:40 PM CT

Why We Love It

• Spot & pen edge at home; strong close-out profile.

• Model: 10K sims cover ≈ 57–59% → fair ~−135; +113 (DK) is premium +EV.

🧾 Lock It In (DK Ticket)

• Bet Type: Run Line −1.5

• Odds: +113 (DraftKings)

• Units: 1.5u

• Play to: −125 (≥ −130 → 1.0u; ≥ −135 → pass)

✅ Pick #2 — 1.5u

San Diego Padres — Moneyline +108 (DraftKings)
Opponent: New York Mets • Start: 12:10 PM CT

Why We Love It

• Matchup: We rate Randy Vásquez over Jonah Tong in run prevention; lineup depth helps late.

• Model: Win ≈ 58–60% → fair −147 to −152; +108 (DK) is an A-tier edge.

🧾 Lock It In (DK Ticket)

• Bet Type: Moneyline

• Odds: +108 (DraftKings)

• Units: 1.5u

• Play to: −105 (any plus money is excellent)

✅ Pick #3 — 1.0u (Batter Prop)

William Contreras (Brewers) — 2+ Total Bases +114 (DraftKings)
Opponent: Los Angeles Angels • Start: 6:40 PM CT

Why We Love It

• Form + contact quality → multiple XBH paths.

• Model: Clear ≈ 54–55% → fair ~−115; +114 (DK) is strong +EV.

🧾 Lock It In (DK Ticket)

• Bet Type: Batter Prop — 2+ Total Bases

• Odds: +114 (DraftKings)

• Units: 1.0u

• Play to: −105

• Contingency: If Contreras doesn’t start or price worse than −105, pivot to Manny Machado — HRR 3+ +100 (DraftKings) in the early window (Padres @ Mets).

📊 Today’s Card (CT)

• Brewers −1.5 +113 (DK) — 1.5u — 6:40 PM vs Angels

• Padres ML +108 (DK) — 1.5u — 12:10 PM @ Mets

• William Contreras 2+ TB +114 (DK) — 1.0u — 6:40 PM vs Angels

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