Sunday Funday

Author

Tab Martin
July 20, 2025

1️⃣ 🔥 Top Bet of the Day 🔥

Cleveland Guardians ML (-127) — Athletics @ Guardians · 12:40 PM CT
AI Confidence 🤖 9.3 / 10

Edge Factor

Guardians

Athletics

Probable SP

Gavin Williams (3.70 ERA)

Jeffrey Springs (4.09 ERA)

Bullpen ERA (since 7/1)

2.98

5.38

Sim Win %

58 %

42 %

Why We Love It 💡

  • Williams holds RHB to a .217 AVG, while Springs allows a .344 wOBA to righties.

  • Cleveland’s pen is elite; Oakland’s is bottom-5 this month.

  • DraftKings models price CLE at –155, so grabbing –130 is pure value.

🎟️ Play Ticket

Bet: Guardians ML –130 (DraftKings)
Risk/Win: 1.27 u / 1.00 u
Grade: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

2️⃣ 🏔️ Twins −1.5 Run Line (-156)

Twins @ Rockies · 2:10 PM CT
AI Confidence 🤖 8.6 / 10

Why We Love It 💡

  • Joe Ryan (9-4, 2.72 ERA, 0.91 WHIP) faces Germán Márquez (3-10, 5.57 ERA).

  • Minnesota mashes RHP (.499 SLG in July); Colorado ranks 29-th in wRC+.

  • 10K Monte Carlo shows a 64 % chance the Twins win by 2+ (fair line –156 on DraftKings).

🎟️ Play Ticket

Bet: Twins −1.5 RL –115 (DraftKings)
Risk/Win: 1.56 u / 1.00 u
Grade: ⭐⭐⭐⭐✰

3️⃣ ⚡ Ronald Acuña Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105)

Yankees @ Braves · 12:35 PM CT
AI Confidence 🤖 8.2 / 10

Why We Love It 💡

  • Faces Marcus Stroman (6.66 ERA) in hitter-friendly Truist Park.

  • Acuña sports a .978 OPS vs RHP at home and has cashed 2+ TB in 6 of his last 9.

  • DraftKings prop line sits at 1.5; our model projects a 56 % hit rate.

🎟️ Play Ticket

Bet: Acuña O 1.5 TB –115 (DraftKings)
Risk/Win: 1.05 u / 1.00 u
Grade: ⭐⭐⭐⭐✰

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Odds are straight from DraftKings, and our AI models love the edges — let’s cash a perfect 3-0! 💰🔥