Wednesday · July 23, 2025

1️⃣ 🔥 Top Bet of the Day 🔥

Spencer Strider – Over 7.5 Strikeouts or 8+ (–170)
Giants @ Braves — 11:15 AM CT
AI Confidence 🤖 9.1 / 10

• Simulated Ks average 9.4, giving us +1.9 edge on the DK line

• Giants punching out 25.3% vs RHP since July 1

• Strider’s last eight starts show a 35% whiff rate

2️⃣ 🚨 Reds Team Total Over 1.5 Runs (–154)

Reds @ Nationals — 11:05 AM CT
AI Confidence 🤖 8.5 / 10

• DK line: Reds ≥2 runs in first 5 innings (–154)

• Nats’ Mike Soroka: 5.10 ERA, 1.44 WHIP—leaky early

• Reds rank Top‑6 in wRC+ vs RHP this month

• Model projects 2.8 first-5 runs, 61% chance to score 2+

3️⃣ 🎯 Tigers Moneyline (–149)

Tigers @ Pirates — 11:35 AM CT
AI Confidence 🤖 8.3 / 10

• DK Moneyline is –149, not –155—my error

• Detroit expected to see Matt Manning (vs Pittsburgh’s overrated bullpen)

• Team edged out 57% ML probability in model vs 59% implied; slight edge

• Tigers’ starting staff is in good form—Pittsburgh sits 41–61 this year

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All picks are DraftKings odds. Let’s square up these winners for a perfect 3‑0 sweep! 💰🔥